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Author Topic: the countdown to 52  (Read 49698 times)
DV
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Joseph McLaughlin




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« Reply #360 on: Tuesday, April 12, 2011, 20:44:47 »

Oldham Athletic
Played: 41
Points: 51
Points Per Game: 1.24
Points Left Available: 15
Points Needed for 52: 1
Points Per Game Required: 0.20

Sheffield Wednesday
Played: 41
Points: 50
Points Per Game: 1.22
Points Left Available: 15
Points Needed for 52: 2
Points Per Game Required: 0.40

Yeovil Town
Played: 41
Points: 50
Points Per Game: 1.22
Points Left Available: 15
Points Needed for 52: 2
Points Per Game Required: 0.40

Tranmere Rovers
Played: 40
Points: 46
Points Per Game: 1.15
Points Left Available: 18
Points Needed for 52: 6
Points Per Game Required: 1.00

Dagenham & Redbridge
Played : 41
Points: 44
Points Per Game: 1.07
Points Left Available: 15
Points Needed for 52: 8
Points Per Game Required: 1.60

Walsall
Played: 41
Points: 43
Points Per Game: 1.05
Points Left Available: 15
Points Required for 52: 9
Points Per Game Required: 1.80

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Bristol Rovers
Played: 41
Points: 43
Points Per Game: 1.05
Points Left Available: 15
Points Needed for 52: 9
Points Per Game Required: 1.80

Notts County
Played: 40
Points: 42
Points Per Game: 1.05
Points Left Available: 18
Points Needed for 52: 10
Points Per Game Required: 1.67

Swindon Town
Played: 41
Points: 38
Points Per Game: 0.93
Points Left Available: 15
Points Needed for 52: 14
Points Per Game Required: 2.80

Plymouth Argyle
Played: 40
Points: 36 (46)
Points Per Game: 0.90 (1.15)
Points Left Available: 18
Points Needed for 52: 16
Points Per Game Required: 2.67


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Bumblebee

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« Reply #361 on: Tuesday, April 12, 2011, 22:30:58 »

DVinho - I think your monitoring of the points per game needed is great, but is there any chance you could add in a recent form points per game - so to perhaps look at the points per game for each team over the course of the last 5 games?  This would give a better reflection of who is likely to pull out of the drop zone based on current form.  I have a horrible feeling that if you consider this, there are already two teams who are on decent enough run of form that the bottom four may already be decided, even if we were to win 4 of the last 5 (which we wont - sorry just being realistic).
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DV
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Joseph McLaughlin




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« Reply #362 on: Tuesday, April 12, 2011, 22:36:57 »

I could do and have done before.

We've been so far out of it for so long anyway I haven't seen the point.

I also started with the whole bottom half of the table.

Maybe after the next set of fixtures when 2 or 3 more teams pass 52 it'll be worth going into more detail.
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flammableBen

« Reply #363 on: Tuesday, April 12, 2011, 22:46:12 »

So, if I'm working stuff right, I don't think we can make the playoffs anymore
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DV
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Joseph McLaughlin




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« Reply #364 on: Wednesday, April 13, 2011, 01:34:56 »

We can't even make the top half.
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flammableBen

« Reply #365 on: Wednesday, April 13, 2011, 02:52:59 »

I don't think we'll make the playoffs
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wheretherealredsare
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« Reply #366 on: Wednesday, April 13, 2011, 07:58:38 »

I don't think we'll make the playoffs
Think positive! We can make the League Two playoffs, maybe even automatic promotion!
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DV
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Joseph McLaughlin




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« Reply #367 on: Saturday, April 16, 2011, 17:02:29 »

Yeovil Town
Played: 42
Points: 51
Points Per Game: 1.21
Points Left Available: 12
Points Needed for 52: 1
Points Per Game Required: 0.25

Tranmere Rovers
Played: 41
Points: 49
Points Per Game: 1.20
Points Left Available: 15
Points Needed for 52: 3
Points Per Game Required: 0.60

Dagenham & Redbridge
Played : 42
Points: 44
Points Per Game: 1.05
Points Left Available: 12
Points Needed for 52: 8
Points Per Game Required: 2.00

Walsall
Played: 42
Points: 43
Points Per Game: 1.02
Points Left Available: 12
Points Required for 52: 9
Points Per Game Required: 2.25

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Bristol Rovers
Played: 42
Points: 43
Points Per Game: 1.02
Points Left Available: 12
Points Needed for 52: 9
Points Per Game Required: 2.25

Notts County
Played: 41
Points: 42
Points Per Game: 1.02
Points Left Available: 15
Points Needed for 52: 10
Points Per Game Required: 2.00

Swindon Town
Played: 42
Points: 38
Points Per Game: 0.90
Points Left Available: 12
Maximum Points Total: 50 (can catch County, Rovers, Walsall, Daggers, Tranmere)

Plymouth Argyle
Played: 41
Points: 36 (46)
Points Per Game: 0.88 (1.12)
Points Left Available: 15
Maximum Points Total: 51 (can catch, Swindon, County, Rovers, Walsall, Daggers, Tranmere)



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DV
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Joseph McLaughlin




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« Reply #368 on: Saturday, April 23, 2011, 17:02:19 »

Tranmere Rovers
Played: 43
Points: 50
Points Per Game: 1.16
Points Left Available: 9
Points Needed for 52: 2
Points Per Game Required: 0.67

Notts County
Played: 43
Points: 48
Points Per Game: 1.12
Points Left Available: 9
Points Needed for 52: 4
Points Per Game Required:1.33

Dagenham & Redbridge
Played : 43
Points: 44
Points Per Game: 1.02
Points Left Available: 9
Points Needed for 52: 8
Points Per Game Required: 2.67

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Walsall
Played: 43
Points: 44
Points Per Game: 1.02
Points Left Available: 9
Points Required for 52: 8
Points Per Game Required: 2.67

Bristol Rovers
Played: 43
Points: 44
Points Per Game: 1.02
Points Left Available: 9
Points Needed for 52: 8
Points Per Game Required: 2.67

Plymouth Argyle
Played: 42
Points: 39 (49)
Points Per Game: 0.92 (1.17)
Points Left Available: 12
Maximum Points Total: 51 (can catch Rovers, Walsall, Daggers, Tranmere)

Swindon Town
Played: 43
Points: 38
Points Per Game: 0.88
Points Left Available: 9
Maximum Points Total: 47 (can catch Plymouth, Rovers, Walsall, Daggers)
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Ardiles

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« Reply #369 on: Saturday, April 23, 2011, 17:52:09 »

I was wondering what you were going to do when the points required/game went above 3.00.
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flammableBen

« Reply #370 on: Sunday, April 24, 2011, 00:58:02 »

I thought he was going to give up and not come back.
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pauld
Aaron Aardvark

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« Reply #371 on: Saturday, May 7, 2011, 19:06:40 »

So, 48 points then, not 52. Not that it matters. But at least we snuck over the 40 line
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mrverve

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« Reply #372 on: Saturday, May 7, 2011, 21:09:35 »

So, 48 points then, not 52. Not that it matters. But at least we snuck over the 40 line

I think its 48 most years to be fair. The point is that its very rare to get relegated with 52.




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flammableBen

« Reply #373 on: Saturday, May 7, 2011, 21:12:21 »

How well did we match up to Wilson's Whitboard Wish-list?
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pauld
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« Reply #374 on: Saturday, May 7, 2011, 21:35:16 »

I think its 48 most years to be fair. The point is that its very rare to get relegated with 52.
Yeah I know that. The point I was trying to make (badly) was partly a backreference to DV's dogmatic insistence on a 50+ survival target this season when a lot of us thought it would be lower and partly that it may as well have been 762 for all the chance we had of reaching it.

How well did we match up to Wilson's Whitboard Wish-list?
Pretty badly. IIRC his whiteboard targets would have taken us to 63-odd points. But then he never got those flying unicorns he wanted either
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