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Author Topic: Coronavirus  (Read 1317571 times)
JoeMezz

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« Reply #9105 on: Wednesday, December 22, 2021, 14:15:07 »

the important factor you missed was that you have to have a negative test at day 6 and 7 otherwise full 10 days is still in play.

i still dont understand how you could test positive on pcr for 90 days after but not LFT though. weird shit

I know with a PCR it can pick up "dead virus" that's still in your nose. I'm presuming as others have said that LFT doesn't pick that up, as sensitivity is lower. Maybe to do with thresholds for positivity
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tans
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« Reply #9106 on: Wednesday, December 22, 2021, 14:20:39 »

You should be more worried about STI’s than Covid with your antics.

Cheesy
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horlock07

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« Reply #9107 on: Wednesday, December 22, 2021, 15:05:50 »

Dunno if posted before, but this is interesting https://www.rcpath.org/profession/coronavirus-resource-hub/guide-to-covid-19-tests-for-members-of-the-public.html

TL/DR in short Lateral flows are not as sensitive as PCR so tend to under report cases. PCR will report a positive with lower amounts of virus in your system. LFT's are good at finding bonus cases where people have no symptoms and prompt them to get a PCR/isolate.
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tans
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« Reply #9108 on: Wednesday, December 22, 2021, 16:03:43 »

Over 100k cases today
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Ƭ̵̬̊: The Artist Formerly Known as CWIG
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« Reply #9109 on: Wednesday, December 22, 2021, 16:26:09 »

Over 100k cases today

Also getting up to £1.5m tests a day, for context.

Cases still not doubling every two days as they predicted. Still nowhere near 400k by the weekend like they've been saying. Scientists saying may be at the peak already and past it in London.

They'll still lock us down.
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Batch
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« Reply #9110 on: Wednesday, December 22, 2021, 16:30:40 »

cases were doubling every 2 days

they were taking about omicron cases not total cases.

lost track if that's still true over the last 2 or 3 days though. It was a few days ago.
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Audrey

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« Reply #9111 on: Wednesday, December 22, 2021, 16:31:26 »

Even at that rate surely in a few weeks everyone will either be vaccinated or contracted the virus. If vaccinated people are getting it well, that’s tough but probably very mild.

Forgetting Covid, approx 10-15,000 people die each year of seasonal flu. If you take the winter period for that, say 4 months thats 125 deaths per day. Not that far off the daily rate now.

It’s time to put all this behind us and get on with life. Everyone knows the risks.
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theakston2k

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« Reply #9112 on: Wednesday, December 22, 2021, 16:38:20 »

In South Africa the cases seem to be dropping already so hopefully it spreads so easily and quickly it just leads to a short sharp peak then falls off a Cliff. Hopefully this is the case and happens without any further lockdowns or restrictions coming in here so that the doom and gloom brigade can’t claim they ‘saved’ us again.
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Audrey

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« Reply #9113 on: Wednesday, December 22, 2021, 16:51:35 »

Latest figures. Cases up, deaths down.
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theakston2k

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« Reply #9114 on: Wednesday, December 22, 2021, 16:59:37 »

Latest figures. Cases up, deaths down.
If this trend continues much longer and there’s proof it is a mild variable it will be interesting to see at what point we are happy to just let it rip without any restrictions and hope it becomes the endemic strain.

I know the usual suspects would probably cry it might mutate again and become more dangerous but that could effectively be true for the rest of time so we can’t just continue on that basis.
« Last Edit: Wednesday, December 22, 2021, 17:02:10 by theakston2k » Logged
Audrey

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« Reply #9115 on: Wednesday, December 22, 2021, 17:02:41 »

Which is just what France is doing
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Audrey

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« Reply #9116 on: Wednesday, December 22, 2021, 17:13:36 »

Small study, but very encouraging

https://news.sky.com/story/covid-risk-of-hospitalisation-with-omicron-appears-to-be-two-thirds-lower-than-with-delta-scotland-study-suggests-12502277
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« Reply #9117 on: Wednesday, December 22, 2021, 17:15:33 »

two thirds lower is only good if it stops spreading as quickly as it is

Let's hope we follow the South Africa trend
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Ƭ̵̬̊: The Artist Formerly Known as CWIG
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« Reply #9118 on: Wednesday, December 22, 2021, 17:17:43 »

cases were doubling every 2 days

they were taking about omicron cases not total cases.

lost track if that's still true over the last 2 or 3 days though. It was a few days ago.

69,147 today, 41,250 2 days ago. Rate of growth is definitely slowing in Omicron.
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Batch
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« Reply #9119 on: Wednesday, December 22, 2021, 17:21:29 »

great news! guess we have to be a bit cautious because we don't know what the test result delay is now v a few days ago.

anyway, the link is here

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/covid-19-omicron-daily-overview

74k v 45 2 days ago? so not doubled but higher than your figures?
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