Tracking the Morfuni Mark

[NotHarryAgombar]

The season progression chart on the second of the 3 links clearly shows that the upturn has been in the last few games. It's also a reminder we are far from safe at the moment.
I was surprised by the chart suggesting that 46 or more points would be needed to stay out of the bottom 2 this season - 44 would be more normal. It obviously reflects what we see week by week - a lot of the teams in this league are very similar in ability and anyone can beat almost anyone else. Injuries / suspensions will play into this, plus the impact of changes in January as most teams will have player movements in  and out.
Ultimately it will come down to being able to grind out some results by scoring / not conceding late goals.
6 wins and 2 draws, or an equivalent mix of wins and draws (3 draws is the same points as a win as a former head coach memorably said) would get us to 48 which should be enough.
7 or more  points from the next 3 would be very helpful, and would take points off teams around / below us.
 

[Batch]

PPG prophet Swindon chart

[Nemo]

A good start yesterday with three points at Newport. A few people losing the run of themselves and talking about promotion, but hey, it's just nice to be looking up for a change!

• We have 18 games left this season
• We currently have 31 points from 28 games, at 1.11 PPG
• Last season, we achieved 54 points from 46 games at 1.17 PPG
• The last ten games, we're running at 1.8 PPG (WLWDDWLDWW so we're behind, but catching
• We need 1.33 PPG from here to beat the mark and reach 55 points
• Stretch goal: get to 60 points to beat the Beamish Line too: we'd need 1.62 PPG
• Wild hope: get to 73 points for the average last playoff spot, we'd need 2.33 PPG

[RedRag]

A good start yesterday with three points at Newport. A few people losing the run of themselves and talking about promotion, but hey, it's just nice to be looking up for a change!

• We have 18 games left this season
• We currently have 31 points from 28 games, at 1.11 PPG
• Last season, we achieved 54 points from 46 games at 1.17 PPG
• The last ten games, we're running at 1.8 PPG (WLWDDWLDWW so we're behind, but catching

We need 1.33 PPG from here to beat the mark and reach 55 points

• Stretch goal: get to 60 points to beat the Beamish Line too: we'd need 1.62 PPG
• Wild hope: get to 73 points for the average last playoff spot, we'd need 2.33 PPG

Open top bus tour by Clem and the OSC incoming?

[Bob's Orange]

Come on guys, they're doing their best!

[Ƭ̵̬̊: The Artist Formerly Known as CWIG]

"Gave you only your third ever lowest finish, what more do you want?"

[Bob's Orange]

"Gave you only your third ever lowest finish, what more do you want?"

James/Frank Spencer at his very best!

[Bogus Dave]

We’ve averaged 2.33 points over the last three games

EIEIEIO

[Batch]

We've averaged 3pts over the last one.

The stats don't lie.

[Nemo]

I think it's pretty clear that if we can just play against Newport for the rest of the season we will go up.

Regrettably the EFL seems to want us to play against other teams. They've always had it in for us.

[McGurk's Missus]

We’ve averaged 2.33 points over the last three games

EIEIEIO

I'm hearing reports that the Clem statue has already been built. To be unveiled versus Port Vale 

[Nemo]

Another three points banked by the mighty Town, we're going to blaze past that mark right? We've pulled level with last season's PPG and feels like the momentum is much healthier. Lots of 17s below, stranegly

• We have 17 games left this season
• We currently have 34 points from 29 games, at 1.17 PPG
• Last season, we achieved 54 points from 46 games at 1.17 PPG
• The last ten games, we're running at 1.8 PPG (LWDDWLDWWW)
• We need 1.23 PPG from here to beat the mark and reach 55 points
• Stretch goal: get to 60 points to beat the Beamish Line too: we'd need 1.53 PPG
• Wild hope: get to 73 points for the average last playoff spot, we'd need 2.29 PPG

Remaining games are: (current league positions)

Carlisle (A) - 23rd
Port Vale (H) - 7th
Harrogate (A) - 20th
Chesterfield (H) - 9th
Walsall (A) - 1st
Salford (H) - 8th
Doncaster (A) - 5th
Cheltenham (H) - 14th
Accrington (H) - 19th
Morecambe (A) - 24th
Wimbledon (H) - 6th
Fleetwood (A) - 12th
Bradford (H) - 3rd
Grimsby (A) - 10th
Bromley (H) - 13th
Gillingham (A) - 17th
MK (H) - 11th

So a fairly balanced fixture list, five games against teams below us, five against teams currently in the top seven and then seven against sides from 8th-15th.

Sort of interesting how the expectations are lowered (and how much direction/momentum matters) that we still need more than 1.5 PPG to beat the Beamish Line, and folk are pretty pleased (myself included!)

[Batch]

• Wild hope: get to 73 points for the average last playoff spot, we'd need 2.29 PPG

Last 6 is 2.16. Its close, its close

(no not really)

[Ƭ̵̬̊: The Artist Formerly Known as CWIG]

We've pulled level with last season's PPG and feels like the momentum is much healthier.

Based on that I think we'll be even above the Beamish line somewhere in the dizzy heights of our third or fourth ever lowest finish.

Commision the Clem statue now.

[jayohaitchenn]

Based on that I think we'll be even above the Beamish line somewhere in the dizzy heights of our third or fourth ever lowest finish.

Commision the Clem statue now.

Maybe next season, if we can keep up the forward trend, we can raise our game and compete with the likes of... **checks notes** ... Fleetwood and Bromley