Poll
Question: What do you think?
Town smash through the Beamish Barrier with 59pts or more - 11 (13.8%)
We reach Beamish Parity on 58 points exactly - 14 (17.5%)
Ken you believe it? 57 points or fewer - 55 (68.8%)
Total Voters: 79

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Author Topic: Tracking the Beamish Line  (Read 22246 times)
FormerlyPlymRed

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« Reply #150 on: Monday, April 1, 2024, 20:32:04 »

Whilst I doubt we will pick up many points at all in our final games, it's still hard to see those below picking up enough to stay up.

FGR are 11 points behind us and have Franchise (H) Mansfield (A) Wrexham (A) Morecambe (A) Notts (H). 4W 1D 5 L in their last 10.

Colchester are 9 behind us and have Wrexham (H) Stockport (H) Crawley (A) Grimsby (H) Notts (A) Doncaster (H) Crewe (H). 1W, 7D, 2L in their last 10.

Sutton are 8 points behind us and have Stockport (H) Harrogate (A) Crawley (H) Franchise (A). 5W 2D 3L in their last 10.

Even if we pick up no points I can't see FGR winning 4 out of those 5 or Sutton 3 out of the 4 despite their recent good form considering those 4 wins on the bounce are against pretty shit opposition.
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adje

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« Reply #151 on: Monday, April 1, 2024, 20:41:33 »

Whilst I doubt we will pick up many points at all in our final games, it's still hard to see those below picking up enough to stay up.

FGR are 11 points behind us and have Franchise (H) Mansfield (A) Wrexham (A) Morecambe (A) Notts (H). 4W 1D 5 L in their last 10.

Colchester are 9 behind us and have Wrexham (H) Stockport (H) Crawley (A) Grimsby (H) Notts (A) Doncaster (H) Crewe (H). 1W, 7D, 2L in their last 10.

Sutton are 8 points behind us and have Stockport (H) Harrogate (A) Crawley (H) Franchise (A). 5W 2D 3L in their last 10.

Even if we pick up no points I can't see FGR winning 4 out of those 5 or Sutton 3 out of the 4 despite their recent good form considering those 4 wins on the bounce are against pretty shit opposition.
True. But....league position is no guide to who can beat who
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Nemo
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« Reply #152 on: Monday, April 1, 2024, 20:44:15 »

To catch us if we get no further points,  FGR need 2.2pts per game, Colchester need 1.3, Grimsby 1.2 and Sutton need 2. Maybe one of those happens, not three out of four. All of them miles behind us on goal difference too so they basically need one point more.
« Last Edit: Monday, April 1, 2024, 20:46:38 by Nemo » Logged
THE FLASH

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« Reply #153 on: Tuesday, April 2, 2024, 09:22:45 »

Terrible terrible season......
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« Reply #154 on: Tuesday, April 2, 2024, 09:33:01 »

As others have said previously, the Beamish team would absolutely thrash this side, at least under Beamish they had a game plan and tactics even if they were a bit shit. I went to every game that season home and away and it was at times so bad it was almost funny, we never went into games assuming we would get a result or underestimate opponents, we were just poor, this season is a whole new level of poor.

That season we won at Kettering 7-0 in the FA cup, beat Div 3 Millwall and Div 2 Carlisle in the cup run only going out to Blackburn.

No team put more than 3 goals past us in any game in the league.

We used just 21 players and of those 4 players made just 1 or at most 2 appearance.

Worst season I have witnessed in 50 years, worst tactics too probably, certainly the only other comparable was Sheridan and that was in a division higher.

Shambles on and off the pitch.
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« Reply #155 on: Tuesday, April 2, 2024, 09:38:23 »

Thanks for cheering me up JJ ! Sad
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ChalkyWhiteIsGod
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« Reply #156 on: Tuesday, April 2, 2024, 10:14:18 »

As others have said previously, the Beamish team would absolutely thrash this side, at least under Beamish they had a game plan and tactics even if they were a bit shit. I went to every game that season home and away and it was at times so bad it was almost funny, we never went into games assuming we would get a result or underestimate opponents, we were just poor, this season is a whole new level of poor.

That season we won at Kettering 7-0 in the FA cup, beat Div 3 Millwall and Div 2 Carlisle in the cup run only going out to Blackburn.

No team put more than 3 goals past us in any game in the league.

We used just 21 players and of those 4 players made just 1 or at most 2 appearance.

Worst season I have witnessed in 50 years, worst tactics too probably, certainly the only other comparable was Sheridan and that was in a division higher.

Shambles on and off the pitch.

Mans spitting facts.....as the kids would say.
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Nemo
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« Reply #157 on: Saturday, April 6, 2024, 19:59:01 »

Well, who knows any more.

With 4 games left, Town sit below the line in 19th with 50 points
We need 9 points (2.25 ppg) to reach the magic 59 point threshold.
Over the 42 games played, we're running at 1.19 ppg

Our remaining games are: (current league position of opposition)

Wimbledon H (8th)
Walsall A (9th)
Grimsby A (21st)
Morecambe H (10th)

Still not happening, but keeping it interesting one more week.
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adje

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« Reply #158 on: Sunday, April 7, 2024, 14:28:30 »

It's obvious. We'll beat the teams above us and lose to Grimsby!
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« Reply #159 on: Monday, April 8, 2024, 18:22:14 »

Town possibly win 2 of them, draw 1 and lose another. Which would put the points total exactly aligned with the voter intention pts tally.

I think that's the max Town manage though. No way they win 3 out of 4 remaining games. Unless the board has told the players about the ''Beamish Line'', and offered them all a BB {Belushi Bonus} if they manage to get above it.
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« Reply #160 on: Saturday, April 13, 2024, 16:52:48 »

Maybe.

With 3 games left, Town sit below the line in 19th with 53 points
We need 6 points (2 ppg) to reach the magic 59 point threshold.
Over the 43 games played, we're running at 1.23 ppg

Our remaining games are: (current league position of opposition)

Walsall A (11th)
Grimsby A (21st)
Morecambe H (15th)

All of a sudden this looks doable, with the team coming up having less and less to play for.
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« Reply #161 on: Wednesday, April 17, 2024, 08:04:33 »

We cannot reach parity as you can't get five points from two gams. It's all or nothing now.

With 2 games left, Town sit below the line in 19th with 53 points
We need 6 points (3 ppg) to reach the magic 59 point threshold.
Over the 43 games played, we're running at 1.2 ppg

Our remaining games are: (current league position of opposition)

Grimsby A (21st)
Morecambe H (15th)
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« Reply #162 on: Wednesday, April 17, 2024, 08:37:44 »

We are so totally gonna win both games then suffer a 1 point points deduction
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Peter Venkman
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« Reply #163 on: Wednesday, April 17, 2024, 08:59:07 »

Grimsby are as good as safe now with a goal difference of +8 so I can see us both settling for a dour draw on Saturday and with absolutely nothing to play for against Morecambe (for both teams) another boring draw meaning we end the season on 55 points and probably staying in 19th place.
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« Reply #164 on: Wednesday, April 17, 2024, 10:04:04 »

This season deserves to finish below the line.

I almost want it to, which means wanting us not to win one of our last 2. Which is not right. Sorry.
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