Bob's Orange
Has brain escape barriers
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« Reply #285 on: Wednesday, November 4, 2020, 09:33:03 » |
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The Cities are going to play a big part. Milwaukee is flipping Wisconsin and Atlanta could have a big part to play in Georgia.
I still think Trump may hold on but it could be very very tight!
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we've been to Aberdeen, we hate the Hibs, they make us spew up, so make some noise,
the gorgie boys, for Hearts in Europe.
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Ardiles
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Posts: 11581
Stirlingshire Reds
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« Reply #286 on: Wednesday, November 4, 2020, 10:26:39 » |
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Wisconsin just flipped to biden by 0.3% (10 votes) - counting is ongoing...
This highlights the absurdity of the Electoral College. It's like FPTP (which I also hate) on steroids. |
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luckyluke699
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Posts: 614
5 league goals and counting...
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« Reply #287 on: Wednesday, November 4, 2020, 10:31:24 » |
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This highlights the absurdity of the Electoral College. It's like FPTP (which I also hate) on steroids.
Yup it's almost like we clearly need some kind of 'alternative voting system'... oh wait...  |
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OOH! SHAUN TAYLOR
- FACT!
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« Reply #288 on: Wednesday, November 4, 2020, 11:48:32 » |
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The Cities are going to play a big part. Milwaukee is flipping Wisconsin and Atlanta could have a big part to play in Georgia.
I still think Trump may hold on but it could be very very tight!
It's definitely going to be tight whichever way it goes... that's the one certainty in all of this.... |
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Nemo
Shit Bacon
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« Reply #289 on: Wednesday, November 4, 2020, 11:55:37 » |
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Trying not to get too hopeful but things seem to be shifting Bidenwards in the uncalled states. Big margin in the popular vote, narrow margin in the key states seems likeliest now.
In a way, this election has gone much more to predictions than originally thought- election day vote overwhelmingly Trumpian, later counted mail-ins making up the difference but slow counting and complex rules meaning key states won't declare for days, with Trump likely to play the prick in the meantime. Definitely a few polling misses (Florida) but seems like it might end up within the margin of error. Would be nice if that margin went the right way one day though...
That said, living through that script is still stressful as anything.
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Flashheart
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« Reply #290 on: Wednesday, November 4, 2020, 12:11:30 » |
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Definitely swinging more towards Biden's favour now.
Fingers still crossed.
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Bob's Orange
Has brain escape barriers
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Posts: 29680
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« Reply #291 on: Wednesday, November 4, 2020, 12:18:53 » |
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Definitely swinging more towards Biden's favour now.
Fingers still crossed.
2/7 with Bet365. And the bookies never get it wrong, do they?? |
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we've been to Aberdeen, we hate the Hibs, they make us spew up, so make some noise,
the gorgie boys, for Hearts in Europe.
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pauld
Aaron Aardvark
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Posts: 25436
Absolute Calamity!
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« Reply #292 on: Wednesday, November 4, 2020, 12:32:35 » |
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Nice to see our own toytown fascist Farage on TV last night and this morning amplifying Trump's lies. Hope people remember this when he starts revving up his latest cash cow
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Flashheart
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« Reply #293 on: Wednesday, November 4, 2020, 12:39:41 » |
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Hope people remember this when he starts revving up his latest cash cow
Most won't care. They rarely do nowadays. |
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Flashheart
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« Reply #294 on: Wednesday, November 4, 2020, 13:55:49 » |
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If results stay as they are currently - Biden wins. And things are only likely to move more in his favour.
Still not uncrossing those fingers, though.
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Ardiles
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Stirlingshire Reds
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« Reply #295 on: Wednesday, November 4, 2020, 14:31:23 » |
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Betfair now have Biden at 1/6, and Trump at 4/1. They're going to be better informed than me, but I'm finding it difficult to be confident they're right.
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Flashheart
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« Reply #296 on: Wednesday, November 4, 2020, 14:36:38 » |
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I'm confident.
Biden has already taken the lead. There's (almost) only absentee votes left to count and these are extremely likely to be in Biden's favour.
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theakston2k
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« Reply #297 on: Wednesday, November 4, 2020, 14:39:32 » |
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Odds on Biden seeing through a full term if he does get in must be evens at best, a 78 year old starting a first term as president is a bit ridiculous.
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Ardiles
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Stirlingshire Reds
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« Reply #298 on: Wednesday, November 4, 2020, 14:44:11 » |
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Odds on Biden seeing through a full term if he does get in must be evens at best, a 78 year old starting a first term as president is a bit ridiculous.
Statistically, a 78 yr old has a good chance of living another 4 yrs. Whether he has the stamina/fight to hold office for the period is another matter. |
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theakston2k
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« Reply #299 on: Wednesday, November 4, 2020, 14:48:32 » |
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Statistically, a 78 yr old has a good chance of living another 4 yrs. Whether he has the stamina/fight to hold office for the period is another matter.
He's just a really uninspiring candidate and if he doesn't win the senate and can't get anything easily is he really going to have the drive and energy to push things. Much like us in the last few elections they have piss poor options to choose from. |
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