Pre-season I go through the fixtures and based on history/gut feeling came up with 63 this year. We were 11 points adrift at the end of February and I had us down for three points yesterday which means we are currently 14 points adrift so hopefully it could equate to 49.
Given we're 14 points adrift of where you thought we'd be, that would suggest we're underperforming compared to your pre-season prediction. So we're highly unlikely to get back on track for the rest of the season, we're much more likely to continue to underperform, leaving us well short of 49