Frigby Daser
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« on: Tuesday, January 15, 2013, 19:56:00 » |
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The recent Washbag article thinks Donny will end up as Champions (bold, given their managerial situation), and we'll finish 2nd. I sat down with our run in, and made some loose predictions for our remaining fixtures. Without having them in front of me, I think I came out with 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats, which would leave us on 85 points.
85 would, if the table resembles the League One table of the past couple of seasons, see us comfortably in the play-offs, but narrowly missing out on 2nd.
In my mind, I think Donny and Tranmere will fall away; with us, Sheffield United, MK and Bournemouth challenging.
Has anyone else been as sad as me to calculate likely / potential points totals? Convince me we don't need to go anywhere near the play-offs.
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Batch
Not a Batch
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« Reply #1 on: Tuesday, January 15, 2013, 19:58:46 » |
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You forgot Brentford.
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Paolo69
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« Reply #2 on: Tuesday, January 15, 2013, 19:59:10 » |
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We're good enough to win it. Whether we do or not is up to us.
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STFC_Chris
Charlie Croker
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« Reply #3 on: Tuesday, January 15, 2013, 20:02:37 » |
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Ardiles
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Stirlingshire Reds
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« Reply #4 on: Tuesday, January 15, 2013, 20:43:27 » |
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Convince me we don't need to go anywhere near the play-offs.
If I was a betting man (I'm not), I'd probably be putting money on a play off position finish at the moment. As you imply in your forecast, we are going to need 2+ points per game between now and the end of the season to make the top 2...which was our average over the course of last season. Not impossible - but we are going to need a Jan/Feb 2012 style run of form, or something approaching that, at some point during the remainder of this season to get there. Hopefully, we're in the middle of something like that at the moment. |
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mrverve
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« Reply #5 on: Tuesday, January 15, 2013, 21:04:06 » |
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We will win the division and Brentford will finish 2nd.
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suttonred
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« Reply #6 on: Tuesday, January 15, 2013, 21:50:39 » |
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Somewhere between 2nd and 6th I think. I reckon Sheff Utd might be the ones to miss out.
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jonny72
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« Reply #7 on: Tuesday, January 15, 2013, 22:57:46 » |
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League One points for the top six over the last 10 seasons (max - avg - min);
1st = 101 - 94 - 82
2nd = 93 - 86 - 79
3rd = 90 - 83 - 76
4th = 84 - 80 - 73
5th = 82 - 78 - 72
6th = 81 - 75 - 71
Interestingly, from a quick glance, those numbers would be higher if you look at just the last 5 seasons.
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TheMajorSTFC
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« Reply #8 on: Wednesday, January 16, 2013, 14:27:03 » |
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Some tough away games during the run in as well (Donny, Sheff U and Scunny-who could either be fighting off relegation/down or safe)
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#VivaKenBarlow!
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kerry red
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« Reply #9 on: Wednesday, January 16, 2013, 18:40:14 » |
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Forget the tough looking away fixtures - the performance at Bornmuff should make people confident of a more than decent rake of points from them.
It's the remaining home games against the real dross of the division which should yield maximum points.
9 games at home - winning the lot = 27 points
15 points from the away games should give us a total of
88 points
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FormerlyPlymRed
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« Reply #10 on: Wednesday, January 16, 2013, 18:58:58 » |
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Using that predictor I think we will get to 88 points.
Wins: 12
Draws: 5
Defeats: 3 (Brentford, Franchise, Colchester - bound to lose)
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THE FLASH
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Quick as a Flash!
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« Reply #11 on: Wednesday, January 16, 2013, 19:58:00 » |
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The away day specials in a row will be a good acid test.
Tranmere
Orient
Crawley
Colchester
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Clems Army!
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Flashheart
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« Reply #12 on: Wednesday, January 16, 2013, 20:05:31 » |
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We've just had an acid test with Bournemouth!!!!
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cheltred69
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« Reply #13 on: Wednesday, January 16, 2013, 21:32:47 » |
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Just done the Beeb predictor.
That says us and Donny for automatic and Brentford, Cov, Bournemouth & Sheff U for playoffs.
But given how I've fared in the Townend predictor league I wouldn't give much credence to this.
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Peter Gibbons
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« Reply #14 on: Wednesday, January 16, 2013, 21:47:09 » |
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Some tough away games during the run in as well (Donny, Sheff U and Scunny-who could either be fighting off relegation/down or safe)
April is a good month for me, being a Yorkshire-based fan. |
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It's not that I'm lazy. It's that I just don't care.
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