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Author Topic: Chelt'num Festival  (Read 6282 times)
Bob's Orange


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« Reply #105 on: Friday, March 16, 2018, 11:39:15 »

1.30 Apples Shakira win, Farclas e/w (paddy power refunding losing bets if Apples Shakira wins)
2.10 Flying Tiger e/w
2.50 Santini win, Fabulous Saga e/w
3.30 Our Duke e/w
4:10 Sir Jack Yeats e/w
4:50 Deal D’estruval e/w
5:30 Vaniteux e/w

Also have a number of multiples and a placepot.

Apples Shakira, Flying Tiger, Santini, Our Duke - e/w acca.
Apples Shakira, Flying Tiger, Santini, Might Bite e/w Lucky 15
Vaniteux, Deul D’estruval e/w double

And £675,000 quid back if this e/w accumulator comes in.

Apples Shakira, Flying Tiger, Santini, Our Duke, Sir Jack Yeats, Deal D’estruval, Vaniteux.

Good luck all today Smiley

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we've been to Aberdeen, we hate the Hibs, they make us spew up, so make some noise,
the gorgie boys, for Hearts in Europe.
derbystfc


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« Reply #106 on: Friday, March 16, 2018, 12:03:59 »

1.30 Apples Shakira win, Farclas e/w (paddy power refunding losing bets if Apples Shakira wins)
2.10 Flying Tiger e/w
2.50 Santini win, Fabulous Saga e/w
3.30 Our Duke e/w
4:10 Sir Jack Yeats e/w
4:50 Deal D’estruval e/w
5:30 Vaniteux e/w

Also have a number of multiples and a placepot.

Apples Shakira, Flying Tiger, Santini, Our Duke - e/w acca.
Apples Shakira, Flying Tiger, Santini, Might Bite e/w Lucky 15
Vaniteux, Deul D’estruval e/w double

And £675,000 quid back if this e/w accumulator comes in.

Apples Shakira, Flying Tiger, Santini, Our Duke, Sir Jack Yeats, Deal D’estruval, Vaniteux.

Good luck all today Smiley



I Have £2 left from a disastrous day yesterday, so i've plunged it on your E/W accy but I have left out Sir Jack Yeats and Vaniteux. But if it comes in (it wont) its £5,000
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Bob's Orange


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« Reply #107 on: Friday, March 16, 2018, 12:06:09 »

I Have £2 left from a disastrous day yesterday, so i've plunged it on your E/W accy but I have left out Sir Jack Yeats and Vaniteux. But if it comes in (it wont) its £5,000

Good luck! I think you’ll be needing it! 😆
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we've been to Aberdeen, we hate the Hibs, they make us spew up, so make some noise,
the gorgie boys, for Hearts in Europe.
Simon Pieman
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« Reply #108 on: Friday, March 16, 2018, 12:11:38 »

Haven't bet all week. Gone with these as e/w singles and a ridiculous acca


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derbystfc


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« Reply #109 on: Friday, March 16, 2018, 13:04:21 »

Good luck! I think you’ll be needing it! 😆

Cant do any worse then the rest of the week Smiley
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The Artist Formerly Known as Audrey


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« Reply #110 on: Friday, March 16, 2018, 14:06:57 »

FWIW



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horlock07


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« Reply #111 on: Friday, March 16, 2018, 14:12:52 »

Gone with Shakira in the 1.30 and then used the free bet on Might Bite in the Gold Cup....

Plus noticed I also have an e/w bet on Our Duke which I must have put on ages ago and forgotten!
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Chubbs


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« Reply #112 on: Friday, March 16, 2018, 14:36:45 »

those tips to indeed lie....

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Bob's Orange


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« Reply #113 on: Friday, March 16, 2018, 14:46:55 »

Rotten apples in the festival this year. Nice 9/1 winner in the first with Farclas.
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bamboonoshoe


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« Reply #114 on: Friday, March 16, 2018, 15:06:42 »

Suppose I better post my ramblings on todays. Already had Farclas in the First, along with Apple's Shakira (those pips don't lie...) and Mr.Adjudicator was mentioned too. I'll post my researched nonsense. Three sets to bet on. One a combined set of Omens and contenders. Another my picks for the day and a set of outsiders to condider for single betting. Here goes;

The Omen Set
============
1.30 (3 Places)
Farclas 6/1
Form: 44122
Info: Done the distance in last two races so should have the stamina. Tough race but has a chance in this. Was a length behind Mr Adjudicator. If you can get 4places this is guaranteed. 3rd place is asking some but he'll go close. Great price.
Predict: 3rd/4th

2.10 (6 SIX Places)
Chesterfield 14/1
Form: 10041
Info: Form tells a misleading story at first look and many may dismiss but Jockey Samson has ridden this twice before...and won! Rides well in the soft ground. This could just be his day! At 6 places this has to make the frame.
Predict: 2nd

2.50 (4 Places)
Chris's Dream 6/1 (for your bro)
Form: 06211
Info: Ascending form looks like it has a great chance. Won it's last in decent company by....64lengths (200m). Prefers heavier but it could go very well.
Predict: 4th

3.30 (4 Places)The Gold Cup
Total Recall 14/1
Form: 05111
Info: This horse even as an omen tip, looks the business. Stepped up to 3miles and has won all 3 (Oct, Dec, Feb). This is the big one and it will need to run the race of it's life. No probs with stamina and should stake a place.
Predict: 4th

4.10 (4 Places)
Barel Of Laughs 22/1
Form: 31121
Info: Enjoys soft ground but prefers it a bit more soft to good going. Came 3rd in this last year at 100/1. If it stays dry he could contend.
Predict: 4th

4.50 (5 Places)
Tommy Rapper 20/1
Form: -72111
Info: Don't be too fooled by the form!  Two of them were minor class although the most recent was Class 2. A decent horse but seems to like the going heavier. No problem with distance but will do better if lingering around 3rd/4th. It may suit if the rain comes and may snatch a place anyway.
Predict: 5th

5.30 (5 Places)
North Hill Harvey 8/1
Form: 01123
Info: Form suggests a place should be on but it seems to prefer the slightly shorter distance of 1m 7f, however the two wins were at Cheltenham on Soft to Good ground. Seems a perfect combination if it can race well and go full stretch for an extra furlong then he should contend the top two. Great price for a 2ndFav.
Predict:2nd/3rd

That concludes "The Omen Set". "Pembrino's Pick" coming up shortly!

==========

Pembrino's Pick
============
1.30 (3 Places)
Apple's Shakira 2/1
Form: 1111
Info: This fillies hips really do not lie! Incredible hurdler, loves the soft, loves Cheltenham winning here 3 times in a row at the same distance(Nov, Dec, Jan), and trained by the very best who has won this final day opener 6, yes six times. This is your banker's friend and the bookies bully. How'd you like those Apple's?!
Predict: 1st

2.10 (6 SIX Places)
Whiskey Sour 14/1
Form: 11114
Info: With six places up for grabs, if this doesn't place, let alone contend, I'll down six Whiskey Sours! Runs great on the soft, so less of the moist stuff and we could all be on a round of sours. Cracking price too.
Predict: 3rd

2.50 (4 Places)
Dortmund Park 12/1
Form: -16114
Info: Form could suggest he's not quite up to it but the combination of Jockey, Davy Russell and Trainer Gordon Elliott can never be dismissed. Should get a place, battle with Mr Whipped and push the leaders.
Predict: 3rd

3.30 (4 Places)The Gold Cup
Might Bite 4/1
Form: 111-11
Info: A real Tiger of horse (whatever that means) it just wins and wins and wins. Strangely though doesn't enjoy being in front alone and prefers to pounce in the final three. Like a tiger, I guess. Will go close with Native River but it should be his to lose! Beautiful jumper.
Predict: 1st/2nd

4.10 (4 Places)
Foxrock 8/1
Form: 111P-2
Info: As the name suggests, solid horse and can outwit contenders. Should love the distance and contends towards final 3 fences. Great chance to upset the favourite.
Predict: 2nd

4.50 (5 Places)
Flawless Escape 7/1
Form: 2-1213
Info: Look at that alternating form! This horse clearly loves a place and seems to win every other race. Raced a higher challenge last time and was behind Total Recall. That was a 3m though so he should be best value for this shorter trip. Could be one for a CF. All in son. All in.
Predict: 1st/2nd

5.30 (5 Places)
Dolos 16/1
Form: -20132
Info: Was 2nd to Gino's Trail (who also races in this), last time out and jumped really well. Apparently had more in the tank so maybe was being saved for this trip. 5 places available and loves the soft. Solid place claim here.
Predict: 2nd/3rd

That concludes "Pembrino's Pick". "Arbiter's Outsider's" coming up shortly!

===============

Just a bit of fun now and to take all the seriousness out of it. The following selections are just for that outside chance so singles are advised for these.

Arbiter's Outsider's
============
1.30 (3 Places)
Gumball 50/1
&
Sussex Ranger 20/1 (chance of 3rd)

2.10 (6 SIX Places)
Ivanovich Gorbatov 12/1 (won't lie; liked the name)
&
Remiluc 50/1

2.50 (4 Places)
Mr Whipped 25/1     (genuine place claim)
&
Beyond The Law 40/1 (could shock a few)

3.30 (4 Places)The Gold Cup
Shantou Flyer 150/1 (You just can't not dream of it getting placed)
&
Tea For Two 66/1 (Don't like tea! Get out!)

4.10 (4 Places)
Young Hurricane 33/1 (outside chance)
&
Vincitore 200/1          (trained & ridden by same jockette Miss Ripon. Worth a shot at that price!)

4.50 (5 Places)
No Hassle Hoff 40/1      (Just have to have a flutter on this)
&
Arthington 50/1 (Stunning form, could grab a place)

5.30 (5 Places)
Born Survivor 25/1            (No reason, nice silks though)
&
Gino Trail 25/1 (Unbelievable price with that form. Won't win but 5 places so fill your boots Gino!)
======================
That concludes "Arbiter's Outsider's" and all of my selections for the Gold Cup Special. Study these selections wisely and combine the ones you think could come home. Good Luck!

========

Obviously dismiss the first race now but I started writing tips a few years ago after my mate convinced me to. I'm yet to blog but he says ai should blog on betfair. Lets see gow these do.
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The Artist Formerly Known as Audrey


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« Reply #115 on: Friday, March 16, 2018, 15:06:53 »

I’ve had a sneaky fiver on Chesterfield
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Bob's Orange


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« Reply #116 on: Friday, March 16, 2018, 15:27:57 »

Long shot e/w bet in the next. The fabulous saga.
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we've been to Aberdeen, we hate the Hibs, they make us spew up, so make some noise,
the gorgie boys, for Hearts in Europe.
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« Reply #117 on: Friday, March 16, 2018, 15:57:27 »

Last minute shove of £1.50 each way on Kilbricken Storm

Edit: wow that was good/lucky
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Simon Pieman
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« Reply #118 on: Friday, March 16, 2018, 16:03:05 »

I've also staked a small amount each way on Total Recall in the GC. Aside from what I've already put on, that's it for today.
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bamboonoshoe


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« Reply #119 on: Friday, March 16, 2018, 16:27:38 »

Last minute shove of £1.50 each way on Kilbricken Storm

Edit: wow that was good/lucky

Cracker, you get 40s on it or SP. Great call.

Well I, well and truly cocked up the last. Was a strange race though as the pace leader was several lengths ahead all the way. Knew it would squeeze in the last two but I don't think it was a strategy some of the better horses had called for. Strong run from Kilbrecken Storm though and great result for the yard. Plenty to play for still!
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