I think you'll find I took up the bet.
I can't be arsed to wade through 24 pages of thread to check so I'll take your word for it. Cash or Cheque
I did expect a leadership change and still think it would be a good idea- not because a new leader could win the next election- I'm not sure anyone couldn lead Labour to victory now but because they could stem the flow and reduce the scale of the beating- much like Michael Howard did for the Tories when they got rid of IDS in 200(4?) and save 30-40 MPs, maybe even push it towards a hung parliament if they did really well or the economy picked up (which is not as unlikely as it sounds- the Tories need a huge swing to get an overall majority)
The average MP looks out for their own career first and if they're in a marginal constituency (and lets face it, damn near anything is marginal for Labour now) a leader who might save their seat, if not the party majority, must be the priority.
But hey hum, I was wrong and now I'm going to have to watch David Cameron become Prime Minister with a landslide as well as pay out a tenner.
