Tracking the Morfuni Mark

[Nemo]

The dream is over. But so is the nightmare. Now, we dream of relegating MK and Gills somehow... need Morecambe and Tranmere to go on a godly run though, so I don't think that's happening. We're going to end up around the Beamish Line I think.

• We have 9 games left this season
• We currently have 47 points from 37 games, at 1.27 PPG
• Last season, we achieved 54 points from 46 games at 1.17 PPG
• The last ten games, we're running at 1.9 PPG (WWWDLWWDDD)
• We need 0.88 PPG from here to beat the mark and reach 55 points
• Stretch goal: get to 60 points to beat the Beamish Line too: we'd need 1.44 PPG
• Wild hope: get to 73 points for the average last playoff spot, we'd need 2.89 PPG
• In 22/23 under Lindsay/Morris/Gunning we reached 61 points, which we'd need 1.67 PPG to beat
• In 18/19 under Brown/Wellens we reached 64 points, which we'd need 2.0 PPG to beat
• In 17/18 under Flitcroft/Brown we reached 68 points, which we'd need 2.44 PPG to beat

Remaining games are: (current league positions)

Accrington (H) - 20th
Morecambe (A) - 23rd
Wimbledon (H) - 3rd
Fleetwood (A) - 14th
Bradford (H) - 2nd
Grimsby (A) - 9th
Bromley (H) - 11th
Gillingham (A) - 19th
MK (H) - 18th

[Peter Venkman]

Absolutely, we are safe from relegation to the Bananarama league but also we are free of the "need" to win every game to make the play offs. The players are playing for new contracts now or to put themselves in the shop window.

It must be said that the change in fortunes is put down almost entirely to the change in managemental direction from Ian Holloway, who has a record since he took over of us on 25th October.

29 games in total and 23 league games W9 D8 L6.

Town suffering only the 1 home defeat in that time in 12 games at the County Ground 7 wins 5 and 5 draws. thats 10 games unbeaten at home and no home defeats since November 2024.

Of those 6 defeats only Colchester away and Notts County away have been by more than a single goal.

We have had 1 defeat in the last 12 games and 2 defeats in the last 17 games.

Add to that in the cups 3 wins, 1 normal time draw and 1 defeat only losing to L1 leaders Birmingham who are in the Vertu final.

The transformation has been astounding, ever since that woeful night at Colchester on 3rd December when we were stuffed 4-0 and sat 1 point adrift at the bottom of the table.

[horlock07]

It must be said that the change in fortunes is put down almost entirely to the change in managemental direction from Ian Holloway, who has a record since he took over of us on 25th October.

Looking at Wiki his win% here is better than its been anywhere else so far.

[Peter Venkman]

Looking at Wiki his win% here is better than its been anywhere else so far.

As said many times, some managers just suit clubs and the players available to them, this seems like he was able to take a vastly underperforming squad and galvanize them into a solid team, its just a shame he wasnt appointed in the Summer instead of Kennedy, but its easy to see things in hindsight.

[4D]

29 games in total and 23 league games W9 D8 L6.

Edit: I meant in total I messed up the league part

  I meant in total I messed up the league part

[Ƭ̵̬̊: The Artist Formerly Known as CWIG]

Really hits home how bad it was when we're struggling to get to the Lindsay/Morris/Gunning disaster.

Probably 3rd worst finish in history then, possibly 4th.

[RobertT]

I've said this before - it is weird that it feels good when we are still heading for such a shit total season output.  I'm worried that I'm succumbing to the inevitable drift in expectations that seems to occur.  Not being top 3 is utter failure, repeat this mantra Rob.

[Peter Venkman]

I've said this before - it is weird that it feels good when we are still heading for such a shit total season output.  I'm worried that I'm succumbing to the inevitable drift in expectations that seems to occur.  Not being top 3 is utter failure, repeat this mantra Rob.

I still hope that our goals may rise eventually when Clem finally sells the club to somebody who can and will invest in the squad and club in general.

Then I will reassess my season goals from mid table mediocrity to play off challenge and then to promotion.

[Matchworn Shirts]

I've said this before - it is weird that it feels good when we are still heading for such a shit total season output.  I'm worried that I'm succumbing to the inevitable drift in expectations that seems to occur.  Not being top 3 is utter failure, repeat this mantra Rob.

Changing the mindset

[NotHarryAgombar]

I think the fact that in both the Lindsey/Morris/ Gunning and Flynn/Gunning seasons we started reasonably well (Lindsey had us in top 7 at one point, and of course we had Flynn’s Kemp/Young inspired start) but were awful after Christmas, whereas this season, many of us thought we were doomed after Colchester away and have enjoyed improved results since.
It’s the same as feeling better about a draw if we’ve equalised late than we do if we have conceded late. Turning round a bad position feels more positive than letting a good position slip away (and probably is).

[Nemo]

I've said this before - it is weird that it feels good when we are still heading for such a shit total season output.  I'm worried that I'm succumbing to the inevitable drift in expectations that seems to occur.  Not being top 3 is utter failure, repeat this mantra Rob.

To be fair we've sacked the manager in every L2 season we've ever finished below the playoffs as far as I can see (at least since the millennium). It's not a lack of ambition exactly, just a lack of ability to execute on it.

[reeves4england]

Really hits home how bad it was when we're struggling to get to the Lindsay/Morris/Gunning disaster.

Probably 3rd worst finish in history then, possibly 4th.

I've said this before - it is weird that it feels good when we are still heading for such a shit total season output.  I'm worried that I'm succumbing to the inevitable drift in expectations that seems to occur.  Not being top 3 is utter failure, repeat this mantra Rob.

Of course you're both right, but this all has to be taken in the context of PV's stats above. Our current position is not acceptable, our final position this season will almost certainly be unacceptable, and yet we're travelling in a very good direction on the pitch. Since the Kennedy disaster and IH's tricky start up to Col U (A), we've been one of the top 4 or 5 teams in the division. The question is whetehr we can keep things in place so that carries on (and improves) into next season.

[Nemo]

Four draws is more than a win!

• We have 8 games left this season
• We currently have 48 points from 38 games, at 1.26 PPG
• Last season, we achieved 54 points from 46 games at 1.17 PPG
• The last ten games, we're running at 1.7 PPG (WWDLWWDDDD)
• We need 0.88 PPG from here to beat the mark and reach 55 points
• Stretch goal: get to 60 points to beat the Beamish Line too: we'd need 1.5 PPG
• Wild hope: get to 73 points for the average last playoff spot, we'd need 3.1 PPG (tricky that)
• In 22/23 under Lindsay/Morris/Gunning we reached 61 points, which we'd need 1.75 PPG to beat
• In 18/19 under Brown/Wellens we reached 64 points, which we'd need 2.1 PPG to beat
• In 17/18 under Flitcroft/Brown we reached 68 points, which we'd need 2.6 PPG to beat

Remaining games are: (current league positions)

Morecambe (A) - 23rd
Wimbledon (H) - 3rd
Fleetwood (A) - 13th
Bradford (H) - 2nd
Grimsby (A) - 7th
Bromley (H) - 12th
Gillingham (A) - 19th
MK (H) - 18th

[Batch]

So the Lindsay/Morris/Gunning line is the realistic target.

Yay!

[horlock07]

So the Lindsay/Morris/Gunning line is the realistic target.

Yay!

Considering the run we have had since Christmas it really illustrates what a total shit show the start of the season was....