Peter Venkman
Past glories motivate us when times are bleak.
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Perfection is not attainable
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« Reply #48120 on: Wednesday, August 24, 2022, 10:43:26 » |
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But this isn't how moneyball works... The point of Moneyball is you take players on the cheap that nobody else would consider because they AREN'T scoring goals but the data indicates that there style of play isn't suited to the current teams set up (i.e. a player who like balls to their feet playing in a team that plays hoofball) - put them in the right set up and they will score goals and cost you literally nothing... take McKirdy as a prime example - he's a manager's worst nightmare, a moany little cunt who gets booked and banned for stupid reasons and likes certain style of play but for years he did fuck all so a manager is happy to sell him cheap or release him... we pick him up, put our arm round him, put him in the right set up and he scores goals for fun...
McKirdy needs a good set up around him and I doubt he'll get that from 90% of the teams in the EFL - he also needs players that will put up with his petulant reactions when they don't pass the ball to him.. If he goes then he will descend into mediocracy
Moneyball is all about ignoring the obvious stat's and looking at the ones that everyone else ignores... looking at data over 2-3 seasons, not just one game or a purple patch - and aligning that with how you want your own team to play and filling gaps.
You are correct, it would go totally against the Moneyball system we currently employ and woudl come down to the old school scouting method, one which I hope we haven't TOTALLY ignored in favour of xG stats etc.
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From the station at Colchester To the cells of Warrington From the services at Leicester To the slums of Northampton
We travel over England And one day Europe too
Cos we all follow the Swindon We're the famous Town End crew.
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Audrey
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?Absolute Calamity!?
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« Reply #48121 on: Wednesday, August 24, 2022, 10:45:50 » |
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Posh have taken strikers from way down the pyramid for years and made millions. Whether that’s through stats or conventional scouting makes no difference.
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Audrey
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?Absolute Calamity!?
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« Reply #48122 on: Wednesday, August 24, 2022, 10:59:59 » |
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The 3 game ban shouldn’t really put off any potential buyers as 2 of them are this Saturday and next Tuesday’s Piss Pot Trophy game. That’s presuming he goes on deadline day.
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Berniman
Sits in front of JFW
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Miserable cnut (AKA Happy Clapper)
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« Reply #48123 on: Wednesday, August 24, 2022, 11:26:16 » |
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Agree about Ward ... a second string keeper but other than that he is surely a liability.
That wasn't the consensus about Ward towards the end of last season though, although it was the consensus about Jojo. The Ward love even boiled over at the start of this season and led to Sol getting pelters. Just goes to show how fickle some fans are. And I agree, that if we get offered £ for Ward, we should take it. It would give us an opportunity to get in a quality young permanent keeper that can be developed into our no.1 for next year. We need to unearth Benda MkII.
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“Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.” ― Marcus Aurelius
When somebody shouts STOP! I never know if it's in the name of love, if it's HAMMER TIME, or if I should collaborate and listen...
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Nemo
Shit Bacon
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« Reply #48124 on: Wednesday, August 24, 2022, 11:31:19 » |
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I think loan keepers are fine, it's just not a position that makes you money for selling - Foderingham and Vigs both lost us money (in the latter case, quite a lot).
Have we ever sold a keeper for money other than Mildenhall? Maybe Jamie Stephens at 16?
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Berniman
Sits in front of JFW
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Miserable cnut (AKA Happy Clapper)
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« Reply #48125 on: Wednesday, August 24, 2022, 11:36:44 » |
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I think loan keepers are fine, it's just not a position that makes you money for selling - Foderingham and Vigs both lost us money (in the latter case, quite a lot).
Have we ever sold a keeper for money other than Mildenhall? Maybe Jamie Stephens at 16?
Loan keepers are fine if you find a capable one. If you sign a Kovar then it leaves you in deep shit, as 7 keepers in a season shows.. What happens if Sol gets recalled in January?
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“Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.” ― Marcus Aurelius
When somebody shouts STOP! I never know if it's in the name of love, if it's HAMMER TIME, or if I should collaborate and listen...
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Nemo
Shit Bacon
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« Reply #48126 on: Wednesday, August 24, 2022, 11:37:51 » |
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Loan keepers are fine if you find a capable one. If you sign a Kovar then it leaves you in deep shit, as 7 keepers in a season shows..
Sure, but are you any more or less likely to sign a duff permanent keeper? I think the Brynn/Ward or Benda/McCormick model makes sense with a permanent backup as the insurance policy.
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DV
Has also heard this
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Joseph McLaughlin
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« Reply #48127 on: Wednesday, August 24, 2022, 11:40:06 » |
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If there is money on the table for Ward we should sell but we also would need to find a like for like replacement.
As has been said, no guarantees Brynn is here past January
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Bogus Dave
Ate my own dick
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« Reply #48128 on: Wednesday, August 24, 2022, 13:10:17 » |
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That wasn't the consensus about Ward towards the end of last season though, although it was the consensus about Jojo. The Ward love even boiled over at the start of this season and led to Sol getting pelters.
Just goes to show how fickle some fans are.
And I agree, that if we get offered £ for Ward, we should take it. It would give us an opportunity to get in a quality young permanent keeper that can be developed into our no.1 for next year. We need to unearth Benda MkII.
Not by me it wasn’t. He’s pony
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Things get better but they never get good
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Qunk
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« Reply #48129 on: Wednesday, August 24, 2022, 13:31:30 » |
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Loan keepers are fine if you find a capable one. If you sign a Kovar then it leaves you in deep shit, as 7 keepers in a season shows..
What happens if Sol gets recalled in January?
Did we really have 7 keepers that season? Jeez
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theakston2k
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« Reply #48130 on: Wednesday, August 24, 2022, 13:32:48 » |
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Ward’s Ok as a keeper but is he good enough all round to bother keeping is the question. His kicking is shocking and the Walsall match showed it hasn’t improved during preseason, I wouldn’t fancy Ward dealing with some of the bouncing back passes that Brynn gets every game.
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DV
Has also heard this
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Joseph McLaughlin
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« Reply #48131 on: Wednesday, August 24, 2022, 14:01:30 » |
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He’s hardly a stand out keeper but he’s far from pony.
Easily one of the better back up keepers we’ve had in the last 20 odd years
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Nemo
Shit Bacon
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« Reply #48132 on: Wednesday, August 24, 2022, 14:11:21 » |
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Easily one of the better back up keepers we’ve had in the last 20 odd years Elevating damning with faint praise to an art form, this. Got fuck all else to do at work, so here's 20 years of #2s (by second most GK appearances that season) 2002 Richard McKinney 2003 Craig Farr 2004 Bart Griemink 2005 Steve Book 2006 Tom Heaton (loan) 2007 Peter Brezovan (injury) 2008 Phil Smith 2009 Peter Brezovan 2010 Phil Smith 2011 David Lucas 2012 Phil Smith 2013 Leigh Bedwell 2014 Tyrell Belford 2015 Tyrell Belford 2016 Tyrell Belford 2017 Will Henry 2018 Lawrence Vigouroux (frozen out) 2019 Luke McCormick 2020 Luke McCormick 2021 Lee Camp (the season of 7 keepers) 2022 Lewis Ward Reasonable period in the middle there where we had Phil Smith with Lucas or Brez, but not fucking much either side. There's a really tough Sporcle quiz in there (although admittedly less tough now I've given the answers)
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ThreeDrawsMentality
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« Reply #48133 on: Wednesday, August 24, 2022, 14:44:44 » |
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Hibs offered Doidge on loan as a makeweight in the McKirdy deal but we rejected this as we wished to pursue a permanent striker. Longer it pans out, would probably be in our interest to sign a proven goalscorer like Doidge on loan
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Frigby Daser
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« Reply #48134 on: Wednesday, August 24, 2022, 14:51:38 » |
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Hibs offered Doidge on loan as a makeweight in the McKirdy deal but we rejected this as we wished to pursue a permanent striker. Longer it pans out, would probably be in our interest to sign a proven goalscorer like Doidge on loan
Promising. Suggests we’re confident on our targets.
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