I don't fancy our chances, spawny Italians will come out on top, like you say we'll go too defensively minded. 2 maybe 3 nil I'd say.
Although I am notoriously cautious when it comes to Scotland away matches. At Hampden anything could happen, abroad only bad things happen, whihc would explain our poor WC and Euro form.
I thought the explanation of being shite is probably more of a realistic reason.