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25% => The Reg Smeeton Match Day Action/Reaction Forum => Topic started by: Fred Elliot on Friday, April 27, 2007, 15:56:44



Title: FTAO: Any Stato types
Post by: Fred Elliot on Friday, April 27, 2007, 15:56:44
Could any of you lot tell me what the % is of the highest positioned team of the 4 that enter the play offs actually getting promoted ?

Just a thought like


Title: FTAO: Any Stato types
Post by: Northern Red on Friday, April 27, 2007, 15:58:30
I know in recent years it's about 50% get promoted after finishing last in the play-offs (7th place in League 2, 6th in League 1)

Usually due to the fact that they qualify late and are on a run of form


Title: FTAO: Any Stato types
Post by: Fred Elliot on Friday, April 27, 2007, 16:26:48
mmmmmmmmmmmmmm

Hopefully Dongs will finish 4th and get dumped out by the team that finishes 7th then


Title: FTAO: Any Stato types
Post by: STFC_Manc on Friday, April 27, 2007, 17:27:55
I have worked this out, over the last 3 seasons.  

Championship - 05/06 - 3rd, 04/05 - 6th, 03/04 - 6th.

League one - 05/06 - 5th, 04/05 - 5th, 03/04 - 4th.

League two - 05/06 - 4th, 04/05 - 3rd, 03/04 - 3rd.

3rd place would have a 33% chance of going up, 4th place has an 22% chance, 5th place has an 22% chance of going up and 6th place has a 22% chance.

(League 2 I have given the top p/o place as 3rd)


Title: FTAO: Any Stato types
Post by: reeves4england on Friday, April 27, 2007, 18:22:12
Basically, it could go to any of the teams in it!!!

I think Franchise have a good chance as they are a decent team compared to the rest of the division.

I would quite LIKE to see Rovers go up so we have a local game next year whether City go up or completely mess it up!


Title: FTAO: Any Stato types
Post by: yeo on Friday, April 27, 2007, 18:47:30
Quote from: "reeves4england"
Basically, it could go to any of the teams in it!!!



No shit :mrgreen:


Title: FTAO: Any Stato types
Post by: reeves4england on Friday, April 27, 2007, 18:51:26
Quote from: "Yeovil Red"
Quote from: "reeves4england"
Basically, it could go to any of the teams in it!!!



No shit :mrgreen:
That's the point I was trying to make Mr Yeovil Sir


Title: FTAO: Any Stato types
Post by: manc red on Friday, April 27, 2007, 19:11:46
since the 1988/89 season the record is:

Overall: No1 seed: 21 promotions (41.1%); No2 seed: eight promotions (15.6%); No3 seed: 11 promotions (21.5%); No4 seed: 11 promotions (21.5%).

unfortunately that bodes well for the dongs

from: http://football.guardian.co.uk/theknowledge/story/0,,1756100,00.html#article_continue


Title: FTAO: Any Stato types
Post by: Samdy Gray on Friday, April 27, 2007, 19:16:12
It's pot fucking luck.

Each team has a 25% chance.

Easy as that.


Title: FTAO: Any Stato types
Post by: reeves4england on Friday, April 27, 2007, 19:19:56
Quote from: "sam_stfc"
It's pot fucking luck.

Each team has a 25% chance.

Easy as that.
As was clearly disproven by the previous post  :D


Title: FTAO: Any Stato types
Post by: janaage on Friday, April 27, 2007, 19:37:50
We were the first 5th place club to gain promotion via the play offs, if I remember correctly, 1992/93 season.

Personally I think Shrews or Rovers will go up.