If anyone cares, we’ve got a game tomorrow. So here goes, Swindon Town v Crewe.

[BambooToTheFuture]

Town pick up an unexpected 3pts and from one of the teams not in their "must win" list of 6. Town still have all of them to play.

Going off previous, and before today I still think 18pts would be enough to scramble to safety. Had Rochdale not picked up a point Town would be above them too (3 on 27pts, Dale, Town, Wovvers as it stands). There won't be these obscurities for Town every week but there might be for other bottom 7 sides from time to time.

It goes without saying that picking up wins against most of the other 6 is imperative to Town's L1 survival. I mentioned previously that Town might not best Burton and possibly one other (still could not tell you who) but should have enough to beat 4 of them. I think Town can beat Wigan, Northampton, Wimbledon and one from Wovvers or Rochdale. Probably Wovvers.

That gives 12pts but beating Crewe today adds a bonus to be 15pts gained potentially. One other anomaly win or 3 soulless draws against any of the mid table bunch will still be needed to hit that 18pts gained.

Personally I'd like another win in there to have gained 7 wins to give Town a 21pt gain. Which would see Town finish on 45pts. That's definitely going to be enough in this division full of mediocrity and shite. I still stand by that an 18pt gain (42pts finish) will be enough as well; purely based on the increased number of shit teams. However it would be incredibly close on those kind of points. It would probably come down to GD.

The conclusion I want is Town to be a L1 club and Sheridan to be gone end of season.

Hold on. There's a long ride ahead.

[The Artist Formerly Known as Audrey]

I know a club can sign a player currently on loan with them on a perm even outside the window.

Whether that applies to emergency loans, I don’t know.

[JBZ]

In short, STFC could stay up. Let's hope they do.

[TheDukeOfBanbury]

We can’t go with Broadbent and Grounds as a Centre Back pairing.
They were all over the place, kept playing Crewe on side, leaving huge gaps not marking.
Dion Conroy was clearing up all over the back line and a real Captain display.
Keeper when they did break through was outstanding.
Every one else on the pitch barely a 5 out of 10.

Can’t keep the ball, can’t pass the ball and midfield once again overrun.

We won though and that with all other results was fantastic.
5th from bottom, Power and Sheridan out would be a terrific season.

[TheDukeOfBanbury]

Another excellent display from Jonny Smith despite Burton losing.
Caused Sunderland problems all afternoon.
Would have liked to have signed him under a better Manager.

[Tails]

I still think we're down. The teams around us have made changes that look positive and all look stronger. Our wins have come with a bit of luck, minus Ipswich where I thought we played very well. Can't see where we'll get the wins we need in the remaining games if I'm honest

[Jimmy HaveHave]

Town pick up an unexpected 3pts and from one of the teams not in their "must win" list of 6. Town still have all of them to play.

Going off previous, and before today I still think 18pts would be enough to scramble to safety. Had Rochdale not picked up a point Town would be above them too (3 on 27pts, Dale, Town, Wovvers as it stands). There won't be these obscurities for Town every week but there might be for other bottom 7 sides from time to time.

It goes without saying that picking up wins against most of the other 6 is imperative to Town's L1 survival. I mentioned previously that Town might not best Burton and possibly one other (still could not tell you who) but should have enough to beat 4 of them. I think Town can beat Wigan, Northampton, Wimbledon and one from Wovvers or Rochdale. Probably Wovvers.

That gives 12pts but beating Crewe today adds a bonus to be 15pts gained potentially. One other anomaly win or 3 soulless draws against any of the mid table bunch will still be needed to hit that 18pts gained.

Personally I'd like another win in there to have gained 7 wins to give Town a 21pt gain. Which would see Town finish on 45pts. That's definitely going to be enough in this division full of mediocrity and shite. I still stand by that an 18pt gain (42pts finish) will be enough as well; purely based on the increased number of shit teams. However it would be incredibly close on those kind of points. It would probably come down to GD.

The conclusion I want is Town to be a L1 club and Sheridan to be gone end of season.

Hold on. There's a long ride ahead.

The number of points required for safety (fifth from bottom) over 15 seasons exc last season =  48.6 points

2018/19 - 50 points
2017/18 - 51 points
2016/17 - 50 points
2015/16 - 50 points (47 would have been enough)
2014/15 - 52 points (51 would have been enough)
2013/14 - 50 pints (48 would have been enough)
2012/13 - 51 points (49 would have been enough)
2012/12 - 50 points (44 would have been enough)
2010/11 - 48 points
2009/10 - 50 points
2008/09 - 50 points
2007/08 - 50 points (48 would have been enough)
2006/07 - 51 points (48 would have been enough)
2005/06 - 50 pints (43 would have been enough)
2004/05 - 52 points

[Batch]

what do we think the points total needed will be this year? Can't see it being the 52 you normally can relax at.

edit: Jimmy posted that as I was typing, great timing

[JBZ]

I didn't think today would yield 3 points so it could happen.

[Jimmy HaveHave]

what do we think the points total needed will be this year? Can't see it being the 52 you normally can relax at.

edit: Jimmy posted that as I was typing, great timing

It took me a while Batch I found some Boo time😀

[Batch]

what do we need, 6 or 7 wins out of 17 games?

doable, but we've only won 8 in 29 so far.

that said, other clubs are in just a bad position and nobody in the bottom 7 are putting a run together

[Jimmy HaveHave]

what do we need, 6 or 7 wins out of 17 games?

doable, but we've only won 8 in 29 so far.

that said, other clubs are in just a bad position and nobody in the bottom 7 are putting a run together

6 wins plus 4 draws with 7 losses would be close on 49 points

[THE FLASH]

Where did that come from?

They battered us though but goals win games.

Packing up the garage and hammers went all ways when that winner went in.

Saw the OG ...i reckon that is one of the most needless OGs I have ever seen!

Anyway, smash Lincoln rashly and climb up the table!!

Sheridactyls Red and Site Army!!

[pauld]

For some reason, I think we'll win this. 2-1. And no I can't back that up

Must be the tablets you're on.

Ahem. #mysticPaulD

TBF I agreed with you before the game (and for most of the game during it), wish I'd put some money on it now, I'd have got good odds on that

[Batch]

also, someone pointed out a slight touch from a defender that took it into the path of Twine.

he may not have got  it without it.

we were blessed with a bit of luck today, long may it continue