If Wigan win their final game and Charlton & Luton draw their games, Wigan would stay up because if their points deduction was applied this season, Wigan would stay up on goal difference.
If being the operative word in the first instance. Second instance it moot. They will get points deducted this season (they can appeal after) regardless. All that matters is whether or not they do enough to create a big enough points or equal points and better GD, gap. Yet there are a number of variables that seem to weigh against Wigan as well as needing their own win. Just to piss you off, I've stated and applied some
valid reasoning below
Wigan face Fulham who are playing for an auto spot. Both are desperate for 3pts. Wigan have to win their match regardless of any scenario, as do Fulham but I see neither overcoming the other (unless Mitrovic is on it like today) but there could be several goals.
Prediction: A dramatic Score Draw
Charlton play away at Leeds. Sure Leeds fans would love them to win at home but they are already Champions and have nothing to play for now, especially if Leeds beat Derby at Derby; which I'm sure their fans would take much more joy from. It'll likely just be a virtual dick waving show (via iFollow or LeedsNET) for said fans, of which many will still be on the piss, including some of the players. Charlton will be playing to win (you'd imagine). They might be playing Leeds at the best possible time really, seeing as the Leeds boys will be a little more relaxed. If that wasn't enough, to swing slightly in Charton's favour...I'll remind you who is the Charlton manager? Only ex-Leeds of 7 years and twice player of the year, yep
that racist lad from Camden Town, Lee Bowyer.
Despite Charlton's efforts, I see a rather petered out affair in which Leeds allow Charlton to attack them yet they struggle to take the opportunity. As noted this really will be a Bonne chance but going by the predicted result at Wigan Pier, the result here may not matter and I doubt Leeds fans will be bothered about the importance.
Prediction: A beer soaked Draw (poss score draw).
Luton play Blackburn who have shit all to play for (perhaps they forgot that when busting a gut v Berkshire Royals today). Going on current form, Luton do have some of the best in the division (8pts from 4) is only matched by Wigan and understandably only bettered by 3 of the top 4. Better form than potential late bottlers, West Brom. They chucked the kitchen sink at "can't buy a win" Hull today and could've won by 9 (this is a dig at the Wigan result) but they prevailed and got a deserved win, which as we all know must've been an incredibly tense 6pt-er. I would back them to do it again and get a win here too.
Prediction: Luton Win
NB: Barnsley could shock them all, with a slim outside chance. It is very slim though and relies on at first, a victory versus Forest. The wood-dwellers likely want to get at least a point to secure their PO spot before any last day drama (leave that to the two Welsh Clubs). Forest should get the win but they've stuttered the last few games and so a draw is not out the question. Seemingly a Forest fan would be feeling nervous about the POs. Their only hope is for West Brom to drop out of the autos, who also have terrible form for a top 6 side. Prediction: Draw (which won't be enough) and go on to lose their last match v Brentford who, like Fulham will be playing for an auto spot.
Taking Barnsley's slim hopes out of the equation and removing any in-game jiggery-pokery, favours for former players or large betting scandals involving Chairmen, I would say Luton have the best opportunity to beat the drop. Charlton have less work to do but they have been poor so I feel they will be sweating more on the Wigan result, rather than getting the job done. Risky business. Having said that, Wigan have the toughest task in winning terms. Yes they have equal (8pts from 4) form as Luton but face Fulham who have a 2.5ppg (10pts from 4) and they do have to win their match, whereas (as risky as it is) the others don't have to win from the outset.
