Coronavirus

[pauld]

Gove self-isolating as well now.

[Cheltred]

Gove self-isolating as well now.

He hasn't got it (yet), one of his family is showing the symptoms

[4D]

No mention of lizards 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-52198946

[Bogus Dave]

854 deaths for the 7th - inflated volumes accounting for reporting discrepancies over weekend

I think signs that growth is slowing - it’s an 8% increase on Saturdays numbers (+146) whereas the equivalent comparison the week earlier was a 46% increase (+120). Percentages will obviously always get smaller the bigger the pure numbers, but if we were in the midst of some runaway climb you’d expect the value increases to be much bigger this week than last

[pauld]

854 deaths for the 7th - inflated volumes accounting for reporting discrepancies over weekend

I think signs that growth is slowing - it’s an 8% increase on Saturdays numbers (+146) whereas the equivalent comparison the week earlier was a 46% increase (+120). Percentages will obviously always get smaller the bigger the pure numbers, but if we were in the midst of some runaway climb you’d expect the value increases to be much bigger this week than last

You may be right, but reporting over weekends is wildly unreliable as you noted so don't think doing comparisons involving Sat/Sun/Mon/Tues are especially reliable.

[pauld]

Sunderland and Crewe have furloughed their players as well as non-playing staff

[StfcRusty]

Sunderland and Crewe have furloughed their players as well as non-playing staff

You could tell from the Netflix documentary that their Oxford-fan owner was feeling the financial pressure of not getting promoted (and that was last season)

[Bogus Dave]

You may be right, but reporting over weekends is wildly unreliable as you noted so don't think doing comparisons involving Sat/Sun/Mon/Tues are especially reliable.

Yeah I know, but the Tue-Sat growth volumes are consistent WoW at least.

The Three day average today is actually LESS than it was on Saturday (635 today, 654 Saturday). Again, looking 7 days prior the trend was opposite (257 3 day average to Tuesday 31st, 185 3 day average to Saturday 28th)

Peaking this week would also be consistent with the timings of the lockdown and social distancing. Obviously there’s a huge number of unknowns in the data, and the veracity if it’s ability to give a ‘true’ picture is a little shakey. But if you take it at face value it gives reason for cautious optimism

[pauld]

Yeah I know, but the Tue-Sat growth volumes are consistent WoW at least.

The Three day average today is actually LESS than it was on Saturday (635 today, 654 Saturday). Again, looking 7 days prior the trend was opposite (257 3 day average to Tuesday 31st, 185 3 day average to Saturday 28th)

Peaking this week would also be consistent with the timings of the lockdown and social distancing. Obviously there’s a huge number of unknowns in the data, and the veracity if it’s ability to give a ‘true’ picture is a little shakey. But if you take it at face value it gives reason for cautious optimism

Hmm. We are still on a steeper climb of both deaths and new cases than Italy was at this stage apparently. And we know we are massively under-reporting the real scale of both. I wouldn't start breaking out the party poppers yet

[Nemo]

You could tell from the Netflix documentary that their Oxford-fan owner was feeling the financial pressure of not getting promoted (and that was last season)

On the topic of Sunderland 'til I die, the marketing guy's Wiki is one of the more blatantly self edited ones I've seen recently: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charlie_Methven

[Bogus Dave]

Hmm. We are still on a steeper climb of both deaths and new cases than Italy was at this stage apparently. And we know we are massively under-reporting the real scale of both. I wouldn't start breaking out the party poppers yet

Nah the nice weather is killing all the germs

[pauld]

Nah the nice weather is killing all the germs

[mystical_goat]

On the topic of Sunderland 'til I die, the marketing guy's Wiki is one of the more blatantly self edited ones I've seen recently: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charlie_Methven

About 15 years ago, when still a journalist, he was a regular contributor on an Oxford forum. His posts were always very good but he riled some with his pomposity.

Love that show, both series were fantastic.

[Bob's Orange]

About 15 years ago, when still a journalist, he was a regular contributor on an Oxford forum. His posts were always very good but he riled some with his pomposity.

Love that show, both series were fantastic.

Was he 'Eric Read'?

[pauld]

Even the Sun's political editor picked up a startling admission from the Chief Medical Officer from this afternoon's press briefing

"Chris Whitty finally admits what no government minister has dared to on #Covid19 - Germany did what the UK should have done on mass testing: CMO: "Germany got ahead on testing, and there's a lot to learn from that"."

https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1247560302125875203

Raab very pointedly refusing to back Hancock's assertions (vague wishes?) that we would be up to 100,000 tests by the end of April.