Bury v Swindon pre match chat and match day thread

[Anteater]

Great result, well done Town.
Good to see we can give a good account of ourselves even without Doughty !

[Pax Romana]

What a great win (and performance by all accounts).

Still can't see us making the POs but would love to be wrong.

[Batch]

great win.

Even with good form we'll have to overcome our Cheltenham hoodoo and hope county are safe to sneak in. doable but pretty tough

[Quagmire]

£10 on 3.1 at 45/1 was a bonus. But for fuck sake Swindon, stop with results like this when we all know it’s going to be 0.0 next week.

[RobertT]

Oooh, Reg will be pleased, we are mathematically safe after today's results

[suttonred]

At the very worst its impetus for next season. I think we've beaten the top four away now which is pretty amazing.

[THE FLASH]

Can't see us doing it...but...should I have chips or mash with my Humble pie...

[Peter Venkman]

Its definately an interesting position to be in, if...and its a massive IF we can win all our remaining games then we will get into the play off, and obviously win it!

2017/18 season 75 points was enough for the PO's.
2016/17 season 70 points was enough.
2015/16 season 75 points was enough.
2014/15 season 71 points was enough.
2013/14 season 71 points was enough.
2012/13 season 69 points was enough.
2011/12 season 72 points was enough.
2010/11 season 69 points was enough.

Making the average points to get into the play offs in this division as 71.

To get to 72 points we would need to win 5 of our last 7 matches.

Its probably down to 6 teams for the last 2 places in the play offs, FGR(79 max), Exeter(82 max), Col U(78 max), Newport(79 max), Swindon(78 max) and Carlisle(76 max).

These are the games left to play for those 6 clubs -

FGR remaining fixtures
Crawley (20th) A
Macclesfield (24th) H
Tranmere (5th) A
Cambridge (21st) H
Crewe (13th) A
Exeter (7th) H

Exeter remaining fixtures
Cheltenham (16th) A
Macclesfield (24th) A
Port Vale (19th) H
Crawley (20th) H
Stevenage (12th) A
Oldham (15th) H
FGR (6th) A

Colchester remaining fixtures
Oldham (15th) H
Bury (3rd) A
Grimsby (17th) H
Yeovil (22nd) A
MKD (2nd) H
Lincoln (1st) A

Newport remaining fixtures
Tranmere (5th) H
Swindon (10th) H
Cambridge (21st) A
Bury (3rd) H
Macclesfield (24th) A
Lincoln (1st) H
Oldham (14th) H
Morecambe (18th) A

Carlisle remaining fixtures
Bury (3rd) H
Stevenage (12th) A
Lincoln (1st) H
Grimsby (17th) A
Crawley (20th) H
Yeovil (22nd) A

Our last 7 matches are -

Yeovil (22nd) H
Newport (11th) A
Oldham (15th) A
Cambridge (21st) A
Crewe (13th) H
Cheltenham (16th) A
Notts C (23rd) H

All of those games are definately winnable with only Newport of those realistically in with a chance of the playoffs still and only Yeovil and Notts County vying for relegation.

It all makes for an interesting last month of the season.

Although you would have to be THE most optimistic Town fan to actually truly believe that we will make it there.

[RobertT]

Carlisle, Newport and Colchester look to have some tough ones and FGR could come a cropper.  It is certainly possible, but still seems improbable.

[RobertT]

And it would take a pretty poor run from here for Wellens' stint not to be seen as a relative success this far.

[Peter Venkman]

And it would take a pretty poor run from here for Wellens' stint not to be seen as a relative success this far.

Indeed, his results have been LWWWLDDDLWDWLWWDWLLDWW
10 wins 6 draws 6 defeats in his first 22 league matches a win ratio of 45.5% or 45.8% of league and cup games.

[adje]

I hate it when our games are "winnable"

[Peter Venkman]

Some very gracious comments on the Shakers froum after the game.

The players have looked "leggy" for a while.  We paid for it today.  Swindon were quicker, fitter and stronger than us.  They also exploited our defensive weakness - Rossiter was drawn out of position on numerous occasions, thus leaving a gap which was duly exploited.  The tackle which led to Mayor's reaction was awful but his selfish reaction could have a significant bearing upon the season.

It would help if the fans who abused McCormick had got behind the team instead.

Swindon looked a very decent side on that performance blistering pace going forward and skill on the ball. Our defence looked vulnerable every time they attacked.  I'm not going to criticize because we have been excellent at home.

Swindon distributed well, and fast.

it wasn’t disgraceful.  It was actually the best we’ve played in the last three games.  Sometimes you have to realise the opposition are good, I haven’t seen every match this season but for me they are the best I’ve seen against us. In the second half we were the better team until they scored, had we put away one of the two or three chances at that point if would have been a different result I think.

Bad day at the office, but Swindon were worthy , and comfortable winners.  As well as they played though, all 3 goals conceded were very poor.

Swindon deserved the win and how they are not up at the top end is somewhat baffling. Their number 22 caused us problems all game, one of the best forwards I’ve seen at Gigg this season.  

Well played Swindon though, Woolery was immense.

Swindon had pace and exploited spaces in our defence on the counter. You have to wonder why they are not higher up in the league - like top - after that performance.

Fair play to Swindon who were excellent on and off the ball and did the dirty at times to frustrate us. Kicks and chops and pulls. Enough to send anybody over the edge - and it did! It was a nasty challenge on Mayor but he's had a fair few this season and handled them well for the most part. Don't think he would have reacted like that had we not been chasing the game or been offered more protection. Still, Swindon needed absolute gifts to twice get into the lead they deserved.

Beaten by the better side.
We tried today, as we always do, but we were beaten by a decent side.

mistakes and us being forced to be second best by a decent, improving side. 
Swindon did their homework and decided just to basically attack us. They had at least 5 if not six players in the box on most attacks.

They did a great job on us, helped by quick players suitable for their tactics. Not every side between now and the finale will have those strengths though.

most teams have come and defended but they didnt. I think if we had one up front today and danns as an extra midfield man we could have won but who could predict that? just one of them games!

Out-thought, out-muscled, out-battled and out-played.

[The Artist Formerly Known as Audrey]

Made a sunny day even sunnier

https://www.skysports.com/watch/video/sports/football/11679734/bury-1-3-swindon

[Reg Smeeton]

Indeed, his results have been LWWWLDDDLWDWLWWDWLLDWW
10 wins 6 draws 6 defeats in his first 22 league matches a win ratio of 45.5% or 45.8% of league and cup games.

Certainly Welens has improved results somewhat, but interestingly your list breaks down handily into 7 game segments and we've 7 games left what it shows is that over 7 game segments we're good for 11 points, which would finish off on 68 points the same as last season.