So if we were to only get say 10 points out of the next 12 then it’s all over?

Just checking

That would be a decent return... but history tells us even in a very good season the haul from the last 10 games averages out at 17 points as a mean figure, or median figure.

I'm basing very good season on achieving promotion or a PO finish. We've had 14 of these in my time.... so from 56 points with 10 to go, 17 would give you 73, which could be enough or not, that remains to be seen.

From the 58 point position the average good season finish would yield 75 points which was good enough last year.

To give a further indiator of how hard this is.... our 3 title winning sides from that era, 85/86 got 24.... 95/96 got 20..... 11/12 got 20 and 68/69 got 21. 7 of those sides got < 17, 2 got 18 and only the final Macari side, did the strong finsih for 21.