78 to 88 points

[Batch]

It's playing against the lesser teams that worry me most. Even Hereford gave us a scare, one day we may just not be able to find that odd goal. And look at Macclesfield, one freak wonder strike or lucky deflection from them and we would have dropped two points.

Yup, and one day this will probably be the case, someone will get an unlikely or undeserved draw.  So long as it doesn't become habit we will be OK.

But its unrealistic to think we can win all our games by more than 1 goal. This team at this time is solid. For the first time in a bloody age we can win 1-0 or 2-1. And if a team scores 2 or more against us fair play to them.

[Iffy's Onion Bhaji]

I'm confident we'll get at least 90 points to be honest and that's because of the number of home games we have left. I think we'll bag another 21-24 points at home and about 11 away. That means 32-35 more points which leaves us on 90-93. Easily enough for top 3. If we get more than that then we'll win the league.

[Summerof69]

There was an article in yesterday's FL paper, by their main writer. He basically says that he mostly sees Championship football, but this season he's seen us three times...and there was no difference in the quality of play. He said that even though the table is close at the moment, he predicted that we'll win the league at a canter.

Nice to read that from a neutral perspective.

[Oaksey Moonraker]

I looked at the numbers over the last 10 seasons and when we finished 3rd on 85 in 2006/7 that was the highest number of points to clinch promotion. The 2008/9 season was the highest at 87 points but the 4th placed team finished on 84. 81 points is the average to finished 3rd and 75 points is the average for a play off point.

The only concern would be we get a repeat of 2009/10 in League One when the teams going for auto promotion got an above average number of points that in most years would be good for auto promotion. We were on a fantastic run Jan to March and then when we hit 2nd after the Leeds game it all fell apart. Although I think PdC has better control of the dressing room and keeping them focussed.

Would take a point against Shrews and then look to pick up wins in the next two home games. Oxford away could be interesting if we are 10 unbeaten as runs don't usually last that long. Would take a defeat there if it checks us and we go on another run.

[Batch]

The football ladder, with Champions, Autos, PO's and relegation  2005-06 onwards.

Shamelessly stole the idea from the Barnet forum.


97 Champs 2007/08
93 Champs 2009/10
89 Champs 2006/07
88 Autos   2007/08
86 Champs 2005/06, 2010/11
85 Champs 2008/9, Autos 2006/07
82 Autos   2009/10
81 Autos   2005/06
80 Autos   2010/11
78 Autos   2008/09, PO 2007/08
72 PO       2009/10
71 PO       2006/07
69 PO       2008/09
64 Swindon
63 Cheltenham
59 Southend
57 Shrewsbury
56 Crawley, Torquay
51 Scum
49 Rel       2005-2006
48 Port Vale
47 Rel      2010-2011
46 Rel       2006-2007
46 Crewe
45 Gills, Rotherham
44 Rel      2009-2010
44 Morecambe
43 Aldershot, Accrington, Burton
42 Rel      2007-2008
40 Brizzle Rovers
37 Rel      2008-2009
38 Wimbledon
33 Barnet
32 Bradford
31 Macclesfield
28 Plymouth, Hereford
27 Northampton,
25 Daggenham & R

[Barry Scott]

We could still get relegated so let's not get ahead of ourselves just yet.

[Batch]

We could still get relegated so let's not get ahead of ourselves just yet.

Have you not read the ladder. We are 9 points above the highest relegation total since 2005-06, incidentally that total was set by the scum.

Home free.

[Barry Scott]

Have you not read the ladder. We are 9 points above the highest relegation total since 2005-06, incidentally that total was set by the scum.

Home free.

Still mathematically possible though Batch!

I was just trolling anyway, you won't find a post from me saying anything other than champions. We'll fucking piss it and my winnings are paying for a big night out in Lids post Bradford.

[Batch]

I gathered you weren't entirely serious. Does show there is a long way to go yet though.

[Notts red]

The super-confident talk on this thread is making me nervous.  Still 1/3 of the season to go, and plenty of opportunity to trip up, starting tomorrow.  My 'lose to Oxford in the play off final' nightmare continues to haunt me.  We have to keep turning these results out.  Not anywhere near in the bag at the moment.

I ask my wife earlier if she wants a Wembley ticket, she does come to matches but said she is not going to bother with the JPT final as she thinks we will be back at Wembley in May. I told her i dont think so as we are out of the other cups  my worry now is she has this knack like most women have of always being right. Not this time surely

[donkey]

I ask my wife earlier if she wants a Wembley ticket, she does come to matches but said she is not going to bother with the JPT final as she thinks we will be back at Wembley in May. I told her i dont think so as we are out of the other cups  my worry now is she has this knack like most women have of always being right. Not this time surely

I'll say it again...we'll piss this tinpot league.  No worries.

[Swindon-Town-FC.co.uk]

A good time for a shameless plug of this page on my site!

http://www.swindon-town-fc.co.uk/StatAttack/AveragePointsPerGame.asp

.... though based on the past ten seasons, currently there are five teams who are showing 'certain promotion' form this season.

[TheMajorSTFC]

Love to see us do the double 

[Batch]

97 Champs 2007/08
93 Champs 2009/10
89 Champs 2006/07
88 Autos   2007/08
86 Champs 2005/06, 2010/11
85 Champs 2008/9, Autos 2006/07
82 Autos   2009/10
81 Autos   2005/06
80 Autos   2010/11
78 Autos   2008/09, PO 2007/08
72 PO       2009/10
71 PO       2006/07
69 PO       2008/09
67 Swindon
64 Cheltenham
63 Southend
61 Shrewsbury
59 Torquay
57 Crawley
54 Scum
51 Gills
50 Port Vale
49 Rel       2005-2006
48 Crewe
47 Rel      2010-2011
46 Rel       2006-2007
46 Rotherham, Aldershot
44 Rel      2009-2010
44 Morecambe, Accrington
43 Burton
42 Rel      2007-2008
41 Brizzle Rovers
38 Wimbledon
37 Rel      2008-2009
35 Bradford
34 Barnet
33 Macclesfield
31 Daggenham & R, Hereford
29 Plymouth
28 Northampton

[Ralphy]

I see Paolo has said in today's Adver that 5 more wins is enough for promotion.

I reckon 9 wins for the title.